Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.149863 0.179338 0.212550 0.252665 0.299725 0.353097 0.418130
2025-03-23 0.108116 0.146119 0.193855 0.257877 0.341110 0.445230 0.584869
2025-03-30 0.084830 0.125665 0.181297 0.261899 0.374824 0.526383 0.743952
2025-04-06 0.067430 0.107972 0.167112 0.258496 0.394666 0.588221 0.881796
2025-04-13 0.055013 0.094397 0.155422 0.255184 0.411998 0.646179 1.018450
2025-04-20 0.048055 0.087662 0.152380 0.263515 0.446488 0.731579 1.203340
2025-04-27 0.045092 0.086812 0.158231 0.286238 0.505594 0.860065 1.467086
2025-05-04 0.040699 0.082558 0.157507 0.297473 0.546647 0.963452 1.700669
2025-05-11 0.034941 0.074685 0.149104 0.293849 0.561392 1.024315 1.869304
2025-05-18 0.029230 0.065815 0.137422 0.282387 0.560360 1.057415 1.992811
2025-05-25 0.024239 0.057456 0.125359 0.268305 0.552357 1.076675 2.092742
2025-06-01 0.021937 0.054393 0.123310 0.273396 0.580958 1.164380 2.323724
2025-06-08 0.018318 0.047875 0.113470 0.262042 0.577482 1.194852 2.457298
2025-06-15 0.016576 0.045420 0.112010 0.268193 0.610343 1.298663 2.741971
2025-06-22 0.014926 0.042845 0.109845 0.272427 0.639586 1.398109 3.027511
2025-06-29 0.013021 0.039212 0.104607 0.268902 0.651552 1.463587 3.250893
2025-07-06 0.011394 0.035967 0.099743 0.265466 0.663127 1.529116 3.480180
2025-07-13 0.010578 0.034813 0.099898 0.274109 0.703175 1.658822 3.855938
2025-07-20 0.010503 0.035807 0.105750 0.297677 0.780800 1.877224 4.440808
2025-07-27 0.009896 0.035068 0.106875 0.309328 0.831148 2.039670 4.917152
2025-08-03 0.008761 0.032428 0.102361 0.305570 0.843268 2.116812 5.210443
2025-08-10 0.007499 0.029069 0.095228 0.293683 0.833463 2.142263 5.388582
2025-08-17 0.006330 0.025732 0.087550 0.279077 0.814736 2.144604 5.513085